Thread: Что произойдет в восточной Украине? (Eastern Ukraine?)

Part of me can't help to think that this is beginning to feel like a game of chess... As we all know Russians are pretty good at chess and has some very shrewd political analysts... Don't know about Ukrainians..

I'm thinking that Russians and the separatists in Eastern Ukraine are playing a rather shrewd game which will make the Kiev government and Praviy Sektor make certain rather predictable moves, and once all the pieces are where they want them, Russia will "have" to send in "peacekeeping" troops to prevent civil war/deaths. People will then "demand" a referendum....

Just a theory. But things are certainly moving in that direction aren't they?

And reading between the lines of the news stories it seems that most people in these cities get on with their normal lives while certain buildings are occupied and certain roads blocked. Media is showing dramatic pictures but I am beginning to realise that most people just get on with it, continue to do their jobs and live their lives while this, whatever it is, plays out.

Originally Posted by Hanna

... Russia will "have" to send in "peacekeeping" troops to prevent civil war/deaths. People will then "demand" a referendum....

Something like that scenario already happened, in Georgia, in 2008. I sincerely believed the Russians drew the right conclusions from that war, which are, the Russian "peace-keeping troops" may only wander around Russia and "make peace" only in Russia, not in other countries. The Crimea events showed that nothing has really changed much since then. But for some reason, I still believe that the Georgian scenario will never happen in eastern Ukraine.

Originally Posted by Eric C.

I sincerely believed the Russians drew the right conclusions from that war, which are, the Russian "peace-keeping troops" may only wander around Russia and "make peace" only in Russia, not in other countries.

Зато, похоже, выводы сделали США, когда не стали соваться в Сирию, как они делали много раз до этого.