Originally Posted by
"Gollandski Yozh":2kiz8peh The appaling birth rate for one should be enough incentive to invite hard working, energetic people to come and work in Russia.
This is what they do in the EU, but what for? Why is that the end-all reason? I would understand if they tried to do something to fix the birth rate among the native population; fixing the birth rate by borrowing from other countries, in the long run, is not much different from being occupied and assimilated by the other countries. I would even understand if the EU said "OK, we're going to be assimilated by China, and we're working hard to make that certain." Then I would have no problem. But no, the EU likes the ideas of sovereignty and nationality and cultural identity etc etc. Where is the logic? And why should Russia follow this lack of logic?[/quote:2kiz8peh]
Because Russia has a lot of people who will grow old. The perestrojka and Yeltsin's "reforms" have caused a sharp drop in living standards and birth rate. That's a "gap" of some 15 years, even if we assume we'll see birthrates of 2,3 or something per woman now (which we won't).
So, we have a gap, but we still have a whole generation getting old, needing medical care, pensions etc. Who's gonna pay for all of that? There are too few young people to make up for this. It wouldn't be a bad idea at all to get "Ukrainian" Russians or "Kazakh" Russians to come and beef up the Russian population.
You talk about "fixing" the birth rate, but I don't see that happen. Emancipation, the want of a carreer and the desire to keep one's freedom will ensure Western women won't become baby factories anymore. Personally, I think that's fine. It's their choice. But for the demographics of the nation, any nation, this isn't a good thing. In fact, it's rather worrying. A slick ad campaign won't reverse this trend, though.
Don't just go and give me the US as an example: their internal birth rate is positive (and even there white non-Hispanic men are a decreasing minority now).
I
will give the US as an example, because here immigration works, at least much better than it does in Europe. In the US, immigrants truly become Americans. Here, in Europe, we see a strong divide. You talk about occupation, very dramatic and all, but I don't see it that way. If immigrants assimilate, there is nothing wrong with them coming in.
Last but not least, it is not clear yet what is going to happen with the birth rate in Russia when things finally stabilize.
The birthrate of ethnic Russians was already a problem in Soviet days.
Still, immigration is necessary to keep the economy going even when the ratio of young people paying taxes vs. the elderly receiving pensions and other benefits gets poorer and poorer.
Why do you want the economy going in this case? Just because the economy must be going? The wheel is running but the hamster is dead, eh?