It's not so true. You said that pensioners and agriculture workers votes for him. Major reason of this - it's a belarussian media: there are only 3 channel which people able to receive in countryside and of course all of them are government. So, of course pensioners think that Belarus is exactly such as it shown on TV (It shown really good

). They believe that Lukashenko - is a "Добрый Царь". But the distance between TV-Belarus and real Belarus increases more and more.
And even most "закоренелые" pensioners begins to doubt.