It might be, but I think there's still slim chances that won't happen and Crimea will become an independent republic. The possible annexation of Crimea by Russia could just as well serve the 'goat' in the subsequent negotiations between Russia, EU and the US. In a way similar to: "Oh, you don't like to extend the autonomy of Crimea calling it the annexation? Ok, let's take a course to the annexation so that you will be happy when we step back to the Crimea becoming independent."
The term 'goat' comes from an old Jewish-Hassidic joke which describes a poor man coming to a Rebe and asking for an advice:
- Rebe, I am so poor and I have many children and live in a small place, there is no space for everybody, so what should I do?
- Do you have a goat?
- Yes, Rebe.
- Ok, take the goat into your house and make it live with you in the house. Come back to me after a week.
After a week the poor guy comes back to Rebe who asks:
- So, how do you do?
- Oh, Rebe, now it is truly terrible with the goat at home, there's no space at all.
- Ok, now take the goat back to the yard and come back to me after a week.
After a week a happy poor guy comes to Rebe and thanks him for his advice:
- Thank you very much, Rebe! Now, my house became much more spacious!