View Poll Results: What will happen during 2014 and after that?

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  • Eastern Ukraine will continue to be governed from Kiev after UA military has restored order

    3 15.00%
  • Eastern Ukraine will manage to achieve autonomous status within Ukraine.

    1 5.00%
  • Ukraine will become a federal republic with more freedom for Eatern Ukraine

    3 15.00%
  • Eastern Ukraine will declare independence and become a new country or "breakaway republic"

    3 15.00%
  • Eastern Ukranie will be annexed to Russia following a military intervention by Russia

    2 10.00%
  • The area will descend into chaos, civil unrest and/or civil war for a long time to come

    8 40.00%
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Thread: Future of Eastern Ukraine? / Будущее Восточной Украины?

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  1. #1
    Hanna
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    My prediction/feeling is that Russia will step in if it gets much worse than this. I don't think it would lead to WWW3 because Ukraine is not in NATO and NATO would not risk a direct confrontation with Russia in an area where Russia is at home turf so to speak.

    If it does, it should help the affected areas to have a completely fair referendum with all choices present on the ballot, to decide what to do. Then respect the outcome.

    I don't think Russia particularly WANTS Eastern Ukraine / Donbass, in the way it wanted Crimea. Russia didn't start any of this, but is obviously trying to use the situation to it advantage, as happened with Crimea.

    If this was a game of chess, and if I hadn't read it-ogo's comments I would just say; do it Russia. NATO must be taught a lesson and Ukraine cannot be allowed to be some kind of European Syria...
    But because I read his comments, I feel like it would be a violation if Russia did something.
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  2. #2
    Moderator Lampada's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hanna View Post
    My prediction/feeling is that Russia will step in if it gets much worse than this. I don't think it would lead to WWW3 because Ukraine is not in NATO and NATO would not risk a direct confrontation with Russia in an area where Russia is at home turf so to speak.

    If it does, it should help the affected areas to have a completely fair referendum with all choices present on the ballot, to decide what to do. Then respect the outcome.

    I don't think Russia particularly WANTS Eastern Ukraine / Donbass, in the way it wanted Crimea. Russia didn't start any of this, but is obviously trying to use the situation to it advantage, as happened with Crimea.

    If this was a game of chess, and if I hadn't read it-ogo's comments I would just say; do it Russia. NATO must be taught a lesson and Ukraine cannot be allowed to be some kind of European Syria...
    But because I read his comments, I feel like it would be a violation if Russia did something.
    Так как очевидно, что с каждым днём противостояние (кого с кем мне так и непонятно) разгорается больше и страшнее, у России, мне видится, не остаётся другого выбора, как пустить в ход войска. Думаю, что это дело недель, может, дней. Ужас!

  3. #3
    Завсегдатай Basil77's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lampada View Post
    Так как очевидно, что с каждым днём противостояние (кого с кем мне так и непонятно) разгорается больше и страшнее, у России, мне видится, не остаётся другого выбора, как пустить в ход войска. Думаю, что это дело недель, может, дней. Ужас!
    Кого и с кем как раз понятно. Изначально с момента провозглашения своей независимости в 1991 так называемое государство "Украина" было построено на идее "Украина - не Россия" и на русофобии. 23 года безумной пропаганды и школьных учебников про древних укров, которых поработила ордынская Московия принесли свои плоды. Выросло целое поколение психически больных с зомбированными мозгами. Сейчас на Юго-Востоке идёт противостояние граждан Украины, которые остались нормальными людьми, не смотря на всё это, с полоумными нацистами, которым чуждо всё человеческое. По-моему каждому непредвзятому наблюдателю это должно быть очевидно после всего произошедшего.
    Please, correct my mistakes, except for the cases I misspell something on purpose!

  4. #4
    Hanna
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lampada View Post
    Ужас!
    Yes . I really fell in love with Ukraine when I was there. Particularly Odessa, but Kiev too - the history of it.... I didn't notice that any of this was brewing underneath. Maybe naive of me. I have been planning to return in the future and hike Crimea at the same time.

    Yes, and imagine the 9 May celebrations in the middle of this. Seems Nazism wasn't completely killed off by the Soviet Army. Nothing to celebrate for the Ukrainians.
    Seems Ukraine has been taking "one step forward, two steps back" since 1992.

    And poverty has to be fixed. Saw a woman in Odessa on TV - she said her salary was 92 USD a month. In Europe today. It's not on. I'd rather take double or triple that in roubles if I was her, EVEN if I didn't like Putin or Russia. I'd just pretend he wasn't there. She's got to eat and heat her house in the winter! And Nazis burning buildings in Odessa full of Jews. It's beyond disgusting.

    If Russia was planning to intervene all along, then I think they should do it BEFORE more people are killed or buildings destroyed.

    If Russia is NOT planning to intervene, I think they should say that VERY clearly so the "pro-Russians" know where they stand and adjust their expectations accordingly.
    Right now, if things don't go their way, the leaders may end up spending the rest of their lives in prison.

  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hanna View Post
    If Russia was planning to intervene all along, then I think they should do it BEFORE more people are killed or buildings destroyed.

    If Russia is NOT planning to intervene, I think they should say that VERY clearly so the "pro-Russians" know where they stand and adjust their expectations accordingly.
    Maybe not my business, but I think Russia could gain some respect from the Ukrainian people if the Russian army got in AND helped the Ukrainian army put down all the illegally armed individuals on the streets, AND then just quietly stepped off the scene. What are chances that if it intervenes, things will go that way?...

  6. #6
    Завсегдатай Basil77's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eric C. View Post
    Maybe not my business, but I think Russia could gain some respect from the Ukrainian people if the Russian army got in AND helped the Ukrainian army put down all the illegally armed individuals on the streets, AND then just quietly stepped off the scene. What are chances that if it intervenes, things will go that way?...
    Zero chances, unfortunately. Russian public opinion after yesterday's massacre in Odessa changed drastically according to what I hear around me. People think that Putin is a pussy and demand full-scale invasion and second Nurnberg tribunal for Kiev junta.
    Hanna likes this.
    Please, correct my mistakes, except for the cases I misspell something on purpose!

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Basil77 View Post
    Zero chances, unfortunately. Russian public opinion after yesterday's massacre in Odessa changed drastically according to what I hear around me. People think that Putin is a pussy and demand full-scale invasion and second Nurnberg tribunal for Kiev junta.
    And then, just for the record, ANY nation that doesn't like anything about Russia can do the same to Russia, right? Sorry, but those people who "demand" that are not very smart, to put it VERY mildly.

    On the latest Ukrainian events, I repeat it one more time, as long as I'm not sure who started the sh*t, I cannot hold any firm opinion, but even at this point I can say the following: any innocent person who died in that conflict is a big loss and horrible tragedy, BUT any attacker with a weapon who used it to bring in violence is not even worth talking about him, and in fact the more of such individuals were wiped off, the better.

  8. #8
    Завсегдатай Basil77's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Eric C. View Post
    And then, just for the record, ANY nation that doesn't like anything about Russia can do the same to Russia, right? Sorry, but those people who "demand" that are not very smart, to put it VERY mildly.

    On the latest Ukrainian events, I repeat it one more time, as long as I'm not sure who started the sh*t, I cannot hold any firm opinion, but even at this point I can say the following: any innocent person who died in that conflict is a big loss and horrible tragedy, BUT any attacker with a weapon who used it to bring in violence is not even worth talking about him, and in fact the more of such individuals were wiped off, the better.
    Eric, if you want to understand, why majority of Russians are justifying Crimea annexation and, after yesterday, invasion into continental Ukraine, you should bear in mind that these people, including me, think that border that appeared in 1991 between Russia and Ukraine is a joke and when USA and EU are messing with Ukraine they are messing with our internal affairs. Killed pro-Russian Ukrainians are considered as our compatriots and opposide side is considered as mad neo-nazi USA puppets.
    And don't put analogy with Baltic states, Finland, Poland, Middle-Asian stans (except Kazakhstan) and Caucasus, please. Baltics were always considered as "special snowflakes" even in Soviet Union. Despite some disputable cities, like Narva, no one here consider, say, Estonians our compatriots. But most questions with Baltic countries were succesfully solved in the last years, borders officially marked, etc. Ukraine is completley different case.
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    Please, correct my mistakes, except for the cases I misspell something on purpose!

  9. #9
    Почтенный гражданин DrBaldhead's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Basil77 View Post
    Zero chances, unfortunately. Russian public opinion after yesterday's massacre in Odessa changed drastically according to what I hear around me. People think that Putin is a pussy and demand full-scale invasion and second Nurnberg tribunal for Kiev junta.
    Sad to admit, he has been quiet for far too long. However, it's understandable. To start WW3 or not to start WW3? A tough question. Figuratively speaking, Russian speaking population in Ukraine is taken hostage. The condition - "Step into the shi~ we've prepared for you, or they shall burn. And when you do, we'll make you pay and apologize for another several decades. Sincerely yours, western friends."
    A clever plan. Clever and inhuman.
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  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrBaldhead View Post
    Sad to admit, he has been quiet for far too long. However, it's understandable. To start WW3 or not to start WW3? A tough question. Figuratively speaking, Russian speaking population in Ukraine is taken hostage. The condition - "Step into the shi~ we've prepared for you, or they shall burn. And when you do, we'll make you pay and apologize for another several decades. Sincerely yours, western friends."
    A clever plan. Clever and inhuman.
    You do realize you're basically saying people in Ukraine get burned for speaking Russian? How clever is that???

    I don't think the attitude for Russian speaking people in Ukraine pretty much differs from that for Ukrainian speaking people in Russia. But now imagine the Ukrainian community in Russia demanding that Ukrainian be the second official state language, what would you think?

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