It still definitely seems to me like Lukashenko is supported by a great majority of the population for better or worse.
It's not so true. You said that pensioners and agriculture workers votes for him. Major reason of this - it's a belarussian media: there are only 3 channel which people able to receive in countryside and of course all of them are government. So, of course pensioners think that Belarus is exactly such as it shown on TV (It shown really good ). They believe that Lukashenko - is a "Добрый Царь". But the distance between TV-Belarus and real Belarus increases more and more. And even most "закоренелые" pensioners begins to doubt. So, average payment of belarussian agriculture worker is ~200-300$ and average by all country <= $500. I think, it's a good reason for doubt.
Now I know a lot of people who voted Lukashenko at previous elections but not this.

BTW. I joined this forum for learning English, politics and this elections it's only an actual theme for me right now (of course because of this elections) and I decided to start from it.
In this case I want to ask every to show me my spell mistakes (at least most rough) and help me fix them. If anyone needs my help with Russian - I'm always ready to help.